- The organization claims that both candidates provide distinct difficulties that might have a big effect on the country and financial markets.
- According to Piper Sandler, Biden, who now has 99% of the committed delegates for the Democratic candidacy, is under a lot of internal pressure to resign. His closest advisers are pushing him to seek reelection despite this.
- The company notes that after a dismal debate showing, Biden’s chances of winning the Democratic nomination have dropped from 86% to 61% in the betting markets.
- They think that Democratic delegates and superdelegates would choose Biden’s successor if he stands down, with California Governor Gavin Newsom and Vice President Kamala Harris being the front-runners.
- Piper Sandler says, “The smarter play would be to select a mainstream governor from middle America rather than Newsom.”
- Part of the Democratic angst stems from worries that a major disaster may occur down the ballot if people believe Biden is unsuitable to serve.
- Trump’s latest debate performance, according to Piper Sandler, was noteworthy for his moderation and arguments against Biden, particularly on border security-related subjects.
- They do, however, nevertheless think that Trump’s propensity for drawing broad, sometimes unfounded generalizations is concerning.
- As Piper Sandler points out, “Trump makes these sweeping statements that are either misleading or outright false because of an unusual combination of being minimally acquainted with the facts and having an utter disregard for the truth.”
- As the analysts conclude, “Last night’s debate could hardly have provided more evidence for our view that both Biden and Trump pose unprecedented risks for financial markets and the nation.” they do so by saying that the risks presented by both candidates are unprecedented.
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