The development and implementation of Tesla’s Optimus humanoid robots is at the core of Elon Musk’s expansive and audacious plan for the company’s future. In the course of the company’s most recent third-quarter earnings call and June 13 shareholders’ meeting, Elon Musk presented a scenario in which these sophisticated robots may catapult Tesla into previously unheard-of levels of market capitalization.
Musk estimates that the market capitalization of the firm may exceed half of the S&P 500’s entire market value, which is presently a staggering USD 45.5 trillion. This audacious assertion demonstrates Musk’s unshakable faith in artificial intelligence’s (AI) capacity to revolutionize a wide range of sectors.
During the Thursday shareholder session, Elon Musk made a fascinating comparison between the Optimus robots and two of the most recognizable characters from the Star Wars universe: R2-D2 and C-3PO. This contrast helped to highlight the wide variety of jobs that Musk hopes to see these robots do in the future. Musk portrayed Optimus as a flexible and essential assistant in many facets of human existence, from simple domestic tasks like cooking and cleaning to more intricate processes in manufacturing settings, and even reaching educational functions like instructing youngsters.
The CEO of Tesla continued with a startling forecast, speculating that the Optimus project would be the catalyst for eventually pushing Tesla’s market capitalization to an incredible USD 25 trillion. Despite its ambitious nature, Musk’s prediction demonstrates his belief that humanoid robots have the capacity to revolutionize sectors and provide unparalleled value.
Musk emphasized at the discussion how crucial Optimus is to Tesla’s long-term goals. He declared that as early as next year, these self-governing robots will be placed in real-world situations, namely factories. Musk clarified that the Optimus robots will be controlled by the same AI software that powers Tesla’s fully autonomous cars.
With the use of this common technology, the robots might learn new abilities only by watching and evaluating video examples, which could greatly increase their versatility and utility.
Musk projected an even more futuristic scenario in which robots will engage in self-production, therefore “manufacturing the robots.” The notion of self-replicating robotic systems suggests that robot manufacturing might experience exponential growth and scalability.
Regarding the economy, Musk offered specific numbers to back up his upbeat assessment. According to his projections, Tesla could produce Optimus robots for $10,000 a unit and sell them for $20,000 each, which might result in significant profit margins. Additionally, Musk predicts that the demand for humanoid robots will reach one billion units yearly on the worldwide market. Tesla hopes to take at least 10% of this market, which would bring in an incredible $1 trillion in revenue for the business.
Regarding short-term goals, Musk said that by the next year, up to 1,000 Optimus units should be running inside Tesla facilities. He forecasted that the Optimus platform would undergo major development by 2026 and that the software would be completely customizable to meet the needs of individual clients.
Even with well-known rivals in the robotics industry like Boston Dynamics, Musk remained steadfast in his belief in Tesla’s superior performance. Declaring emphatically that “I don’t think anyone is going to do it better than Tesla by a long shot,” he demonstrated his confidence in the cutting-edge technology and inventiveness of the business.
It’s important to remember that during an AI Day event in 2021, Tesla first disclosed its intentions to create humanoid robots. The idea was first presented at that time via a theatrical performance that included a dancer dressed as a robot. More recently, in January, Optimus robots were seen folding laundry in a demonstration film provided by Tesla. Robotics engineers, however, took issue with this presentation, claiming that the robots were really controlled by people in the background and were not fully independent.
Musk’s vision for Optimus and its possible effect on Tesla’s value are certainly audacious, but they also demonstrate the CEO’s innate audacity and unwavering faith in the revolutionary potential of technology. The next years will demonstrate if these ambitious goals can be accomplished in the challenging and competitive field of artificial intelligence and robotics, as Tesla continues to develop and improve its humanoid robot technology.