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Asian markets remain stable, but sterling remains cautious ahead of the BoE meeting

In addition to the BoE, investors will be watching Switzerland's and Norway's central banks' Thursday announcements to see how the world's interest rates are expected to go.

admin by admin
June 20, 2024
in Economy
0
Asian markets remain stable, but sterling remains cautious ahead of the BoE meeting
  • Reuters, Singapore traders awaited more indications on U.S. policy, Asian equities took a break on Thursday, remaining close to their peak of the last two years. Meanwhile, sterling remained stable ahead of a Bank of England meeting where rates are anticipated to stay unchanged.
  • With tech companies driving it higher on Wednesday, MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific equities outside of Japan set a two-year high of 573.38, but it was little changed at 572.42. June is expected to see a 4% increase in the index.
  • With Eurostoxx 50 futures and FTSE futures both 0.2% higher ahead of the barrage of central bank announcements, European stock markets were expected to start higher.
  • In cautious trade, the pound held firm at $1.27125, although June has seen a 0.2% decline in value. [FRX/]
  • British inflation reached its 2% goal in May for the first time in over three years, according to data released on Wednesday. However, significant underlying price pressures almost guarantee that interest rates won’t be lowered before next month’s election.
  • In a Reuters survey conducted last week, the majority of analysts predicted that the central bank will begin lowering interest rates in August. However, markets believe that a first move is more probable in September or November and give an August rate drop just a 30% likelihood.
  • This year, the markets have factored in 43 basis points of easing from the BoE.
  • For a second consecutive meeting, the Swiss National Bank is anticipated to lower its main policy rate by 25 basis points. It’s expected that Norway’s central bank will not alter its main policy interest rate.
  • Asia’s Nikkei saw a 0.10% increase, while Hong Kong and China’s equities plummeted due to weak real estate stocks, and Beijing maintained its benchmark lending rates at these levels despite fresh evidence indicating that the economy is still unstable.
  • For the first time since November, the onshore value of the yuan dropped below 7.26 per dollar.
  • The euro remained stable at $1.0746, while the dollar index, which compares the value of the US dollar against six competitors, saw little movement at 105.27.
  • Tech shares surged globally on Tuesday, pushing AI chipmaker Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) over Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) as the most valuable firm in the world.
  • Wednesday’s U.S. market closure was followed by a 0.5% increase in Thursday’s tech-heavy Nasdaq futures.
  • Technology stocks have surged this year due to the fervor around artificial intelligence. Nvidia and a few other giants have been leading the charge as U.S. equities reach all-time highs and outperform their Asian counterparts.
  • According to a letter from Pepperstone’s director of research Chris Weston, “Nvidia remains the most important stock in the world.”
  • Nonetheless, Weston issued a warning, pointing out that the index market’s breadth has been weak and that the rally’s participation has been lackluster, indicating that it is not well-founded.
  • “The fact remains the market is now all in on the rally in AI-related names and big tech and given the lack of clear immediate risk the path of least resistance is for higher equity index levels.”
  • Macroeconomically speaking, investors are searching for new signals about the Federal Reserve’s timing of its policy easing cycle, given the bank only predicted one rate reduction this year last week and this week’s officials have been cautious as well.
  • The large disparity in interest rates between Japan and the US was weighing on the Japanese yen, which was trading at 158.17 per dollar. Compared to the dollar this year, the yen has dropped by more than 10%. Stefan Hofer, the chief investment strategist at LGT Bank Asia, said that “I think the best-case scenario is a September Fed interest rate cut that narrows the yield differential between the dollar and yen”.
  • With Brentsteady at $85.12 per barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude for June at $81.38 per barrel, which was 0.23% lower than the previous month, commodity prices for oil were uneven. [O/R]
  • Reuters, Singapore traders awaited more indications on U.S. policy, Asian equities took a break on Thursday, remaining close to their peak of the last two years. Meanwhile, sterling remained stable ahead of a Bank of England meeting where rates are anticipated to stay unchanged.
  • In addition to the BoE, investors will be watching Switzerland’s and Norway’s central banks’ Thursday announcements to see how the world’s interest rates are expected to go.
  • With tech companies driving it higher on Wednesday, MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific equities outside of Japan set a two-year high of 573.38, but it was little changed at 572.42. June is expected to see a 4% increase in the index.
  • With Eurostoxx 50 futures and FTSE futures both 0.2% higher ahead of the barrage of central bank announcements, European stock markets were expected to start higher.
  • In cautious trade, the pound held firm at $1.27125, although June has seen a 0.2% decline in value. [FRX/]
  • British inflation reached its 2% goal in May for the first time in over three years, according to data released on Wednesday. However, significant underlying price pressures almost guarantee that interest rates won’t be lowered before next month’s election.
  • In a Reuters survey conducted last week, the majority of analysts predicted that the central bank will begin lowering interest rates in August. However, markets believe that a first move is more probable in September or November and give an August rate drop just a 30% likelihood.
  • This year, the markets have factored in 43 basis points of easing from the BoE.
  • For a second consecutive meeting, the Swiss National Bank is anticipated to lower its main policy rate by 25 basis points. It’s expected that Norway’s central bank will not alter its main policy interest rate.
  • Asia’s Nikkei saw a 0.10% increase, while Hong Kong and China’s equities plummeted due to weak real estate stocks, and Beijing maintained its benchmark lending rates at these levels despite fresh evidence indicating that the economy is still unstable.
  • For the first time since November, the onshore value of the yuan dropped below 7.26 per dollar.
  • The euro remained stable at $1.0746, while the dollar index, which compares the value of the US dollar against six competitors, saw little movement at 105.27.
  • Tech shares surged globally on Tuesday, pushing AI chipmaker Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) over Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) as the most valuable firm in the world.
  • Wednesday’s U.S. market closure was followed by a 0.5% increase in Thursday’s tech-heavy Nasdaq futures.
  • Technology stocks have surged this year due to the fervor around artificial intelligence. Nvidia and a few other giants have been leading the charge as U.S. equities reach all-time highs and outperform their Asian counterparts.
  • According to a letter from Pepperstone’s director of research Chris Weston, “Nvidia remains the most important stock in the world.”
  • Nonetheless, Weston issued a warning, pointing out that the index market’s breadth has been weak and that the rally’s participation has been lackluster, indicating that it is not well-founded.
  • “The fact remains the market is now all in on the rally in AI-related names and big tech and given the lack of clear immediate risk the path of least resistance is for higher equity index levels.”
  • Macroeconomically speaking, investors are searching for new signals about the Federal Reserve’s timing of its policy easing cycle, given the bank only predicted one rate reduction this year last week and this week’s officials have been cautious as well.
  • The large disparity in interest rates between Japan and the US was weighing on the Japanese yen, which was trading at 158.17 per dollar. Compared to the dollar this year, the yen has dropped by more than 10%. Stefan Hofer, the chief investment strategist at LGT Bank Asia, said that “I think the best-case scenario is a September Fed interest rate cut that narrows the yield differential between the dollar and yen”.
  • With Brentsteady at $85.12 per barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude for June at $81.38 per barrel, which was 0.23% lower than the previous month, commodity prices for oil were uneven. [O/R]
Source: investing
Tags: economynewseconomyu[dates

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